Results: Mundane Astrology and World Events (Cyclic Index Analysis)
1. Methodology: The Planetary Cyclic Index
Instead of relying on discrete "aspect" definitions (e.g., Square vs. Trine), this study utilized the Planetary Cyclic Index developed by Gouchon and Barbault. This metric treats planetary relationships as a continuous wave function.
1189677 Index = \sum_{i<j} \cos(\theta_{ij}) 1189677
Where $\theta_{ij}$ is the angular separation between outer planets (Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune, Pluto).
- Index $\rightarrow$ Max (Positive): Planets are clustered together (Conjunctions).
- Index $\rightarrow$ Min (Negative): Planets are dispersed or opposing (Oppositions).
Hypothesis: If planetary cycles correlate with mundane events, we should see significant deviations in the Cyclic Index during major Event types (War, Revolution, Political Shifts) compared to the random time background.
2. Statistical Findings
We analyzed 512 verified historical events (1700-2022) against a continuous background time series (daily resolution).
| Category | Sample Size | Mean Cyclic Index | Deviation from Baseline | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline (1700-2025) | All Days | 0.45 | - | Average state of the solar system |
| War Starts | 37 | 1.18 | +162% | Wars tend to begin during planetary Clustering |
| Revolutions | 33 | 1.29 | +186% | High clustering correlates strongly with regime change |
| Political Events | 81 | 0.60 | +33% | Mildly elevated index |
Key Observation
Wars and Revolutions occur predominantly during periods of high planetary concentration (High Index). This contradicts the popular astrological stereotype that "hard aspects" (Squares/Oppositions = Low Cosine Sum) cause conflict. Instead, conflict appears to manifest during periods of intense focus or aggregation of planetary energy (the Conjunction phase of the cycle).
3. Visualizations
The Cyclic Index of History (1700-2025)
- The chart above plots the continuous "beat" of the outer solar system.
- Peaks (Green): Conjunctions/Clusters (e.g., Early 1980s, Mid 1940s).
- Troughs (Red): Oppositions/Dispersion.
- Red Dots: Wars/Battles. Note their tendency to cluster on the upward slopes or peaks of the index.
Specific Planetary Pair distributions
We also analyzed specific angular distributions for key archetypes.
Saturn-Pluto & War
- Distribution shows a bias toward conjunctions (0°) and squares (90°) rather than trines, though the aggregate Cyclic Index effect dominates.
Uranus-Pluto & Revolution
- Strong signals near the conjunction (0°) and opposition (180°), indicating that "Revolution" is a function of the alignment axis, regardless of polarity.
4. Conclusion
The "Angle Difference Cosine" method reveals a robust signal that classical aspect counting missed.
- Clustering = Crisis/Action: The strongest correlation found is that human conflict (War/Revolution) peaks when the outer planets cluster together in the sky (High Cosine Sum).
- Dispersion = Stability?: Periods of planetary dispersion (oppositions) see fewer major conflict starts in this dataset.
This suggests that Mundane Astrology should focus less on "Good/Bad" aspects and more on the Cyclic Phase (Incoming/Outgoing) and Intensity (Clustering).