Renay Oshop · Computational Astrology Research

The Big Astrology
Book of Research

48 experiments testing astrological hypotheses against empirical data. Full transparency on methodology, effect sizes, and outcomes — including every null result.

48 Experiments
43 Completed
156M+ Data points
28yr Jyotisha study
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All code & data are open. Every Python script, CSV dataset, and analysis file is available in the GitHub repository — ready to run, extend, or replicate.
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The 48 experiments

Positive Significant result Null No effect found Mixed Partial / complex Incomplete Data gap In Progress Coming soon
# Project Domain Verdict Key Finding
01Ultra-Wealthy Birth PatternsNatal / Wealthy CohortMixedN=20 vs 152M births; Aries +147%, Amavasya +350%
02Planetary Cycles & Market VolatilityFinancialMixed18,869 trading days; r=0.0226; real but not predictive
03Lunar Effects on Biological EventsHealth / BirthsNull156M births, 45 years; Full Moon Effect definitively refuted
04Who Believes in Astrology?DemographicsPositiveUrbanization r=0.719; R²=0.743
05Mercury Retrograde — Real or Bias?Calendar / CognitionNull24 years; calendar confounds explain all variation
06Harmonic Analysis of Planetary AspectsNatal / AchievementPositiveN=86 celebrities; H4/H7 elevated; H5 lower in artists
07Machine Learning & Planetary CyclesML / PersonalityMixedProfession 29.3% vs 16.7% baseline; cyclic age null
08Tropical vs. Sidereal ZodiacZodiac SystemsNullN=86; Sun Sign worse than random in all systems
09Solar Activity & Quality of TimeSolar / MoodIncompleteMethodology paper; mood dataset needed
10Synastry & Relationship LongevityRelationshipsMixedN=2,722 couples; Mars-Mars p=0.0006 genuine signal
11Longitudinal Health & LongevityHealthNullN=936 deaths; Sun sign p=0.964
12Market Volatility & GARCH-XFinancialNullVIX 1990–2024; planets worsen GARCH forecasts
13Circular Statistics & PersonalityNatal / PersonalityNullN=211; no zodiac clustering by profession
14Essential Dignities: Tropical vs. SiderealTraditionalMixedScientists: debilitated Tropical, dignified Sidereal
15Birth Order & Astrological FactorsNatal / Birth OrderMixedWLS N=34,762 + Pantheon; firstborn Fire elevated
16Creativity, Genius & AstrologyNatal / CreativityNullN=758 creatives; powered null
17Planetary Alignment & Historical EventsMundanePositiveN=498 events; +148% cosine sum, p<0.0001 ★
18Solar House System (Surya Lagna)TraditionalPositive31.8% vs 25% baseline; Bayes Factor=23.5
19Mundane Astrology — Specific AspectsMundaneIncompleteBootstrap complete: 8 claims null; war_start p=0.028
20Astrological Rule DiscoveryNatal / Pattern SearchPositiveMars Libra 18.6%, Moon Scorpio 17.4%
21Eclipse Cycles & Seattle 911 CallsMundane / BehavioralNull1.4M calls; no elevation on eclipse days
22Astro-Weather ForecastingWeatherMixedNOAA 124 years; Water sign/rain = seasonal artifact
23Chart Similarity & Career OutcomesNatal / ClusteringPositiveVedic within-career clustering p<0.001
24Electional Astrology & IPO ReturnsFinancialNull~10,000 IPOs; all three rules: <0.2% difference
25Fixed Stars & Natal InterpretationTraditionalMixedN=936, 12 stars; Regulus/overdose Z=+2.26
26Compatibility & Relationship SurvivalRelationshipsNullN=2,722 couples; r=0.009; survival curves overlap
27Horary Astrology — Moon as OracleTraditionalIncompleteVia Combusta −5.8% suggestive; dataset needed
28Solar Houses & Life DomainsTraditionalPositivePoliticians 1st Solar House +166%
29Asteroids & Psychological ArchetypesNatal / AsteroidsMixedN=936; Pallas/Vesta solar conjunctions elevated
30Chinese Zodiac & PersonalityCross-CulturalMixedN=19,632; p<0.001 but η²≈0.002; generation confound
31Planetary Patterns & Disease OutbreaksMundane / HealthMixedSaturn-Uranus p=0.0021; none survive Bonferroni
32Historical Prediction AccuracyPractitioner Track RecordNullN=39 predictions; 56.4% accuracy, p=0.26
33Planetary Dignities — ExtendedTraditionalPositiveWriters: weak Mars p=0.011; Filmmakers: strong Sun p=0.027
34Solar Return Predictions — Cosine MethodPredictiveMixedN=451 events; Moon-Lilith at Death p=0.009
35Professional Clustering — Unsupervised LearningNatal / MLNullN=766; ARI ≈ 0 across six algorithms; no vocational structure
36Synastry Harmonics & Logistic RegressionRelationships / MLNullRF lift = birth cohort artifact (~1905); ROC-AUC = 0.5
37Planetary Cycles & Mood SurveysBehavioral / FinancialMixedMercury Rx null; Jupiter-Saturn r=−0.19 (p<0.0001)
38Composite Charts & Group DynamicsRelationshipsMixedN=31 underpowered; Moon Cohesion r=+0.25 (p=0.176)
39Retrograde Periods & Market VolatilityFinancialMixedMercury Rx null; Venus Rx +10% VIX (p<0.0001) over 75 years
40Medical Astrology & DecumbitureHealth / MundaneMixed82M ED visits; outer planet r=0.49 = artifact; Sun-Saturn genuine
41Lunar Nodes & Life PurposeNatal / VedicMixedN=763; Entertainers 1.52× in 5th house — underpowered
42Solar Cycles & Social SentimentMundane / SolarMixedr=−0.193 over 64 years; 2016–2023 spurious
43Progressions & Psychological DevelopmentPredictiveMixedHard aspects inverted; Mars/Venus ingresses genuine (p<0.0001)
44Machine Learning Chart RectificationComputationalPositiveCosine features: MAE 6h→2.7h; +54% improvement
45Seismicity & Gravitational VectorsMundane / EarthMixedLunar Day χ²=78.54 (p<0.0001) — inverted tidal model
46NLP & Thematic ArchetypesComputational / LanguagePositiveSame-element cosine 0.65–0.72; LDA recovers four elements
47Moon Phase & Sleep — WearablesHealth / BehavioralPositiveFull Moon −15.5 min deep sleep (p<0.00001)
48Genetic Algorithm Feature Selection — Planetary & Financial DataFinancial / ComputationalMixedVIX R²=+0.058; IPO +14% vs naive; 6 sub-experiments
Patterns Across the Research

Cross-project themes

⚔️ The Hardship Hypothesis

Five projects converge: exceptional achievers tend to have difficult charts, not easy ones. Tension in the birth chart may correlate with drive.

  • Project 06: Harmonic tension elevated in high achievers
  • Project 14: Scientists have debilitated Tropical charts
  • Project 20: Mars in Detriment & Moon in Fall dominate
  • Project 01: Amavasya (dark Moon) most common in billionaires

📏 Scale Kills Folk Mythology

The largest datasets produce the most definitive nulls — targeting the most culturally durable claims.

  • Project 03 (156M births): Full Moon → zero influence
  • Project 05 (24 years): Mercury Rx → calendar confound
  • Project 26 (2,722 couples): Compatibility → r=0.009

🌌 Clustering Beats Signs

Project 17: mean planetary clustering is +148% higher on historical event days vs random days (p<0.0001). Diffuse geometry outperforms every named aspect.

🗺️ Demographics > Astrology

Project 04: urbanization, education, and income explain 74.3% of variation in astrological belief — higher than astrology achieves for any outcome in this book.

☯️ Two Zodiacs, Two Questions

Projects 08, 14, 23, 33 suggest Tropical encodes seasonal rhythms while Sidereal shows stronger clustering in some contexts. Neither is simply "correct."

Where to Start

Suggested reading paths

For Skeptics

Projects 03, 05, 26, 32 — the strongest null results at largest scale.

For Researchers

Projects 17, 06, 10, 23 — methodologically interesting positive findings.

For Traditional Astrologers

Projects 14, 20, 25, 33, 34 — direct tests of classical techniques.

For Cultural Observers

Projects 04, 30 — who believes, why, and what the demographics reveal.

For Data Scientists

Projects 07, 48 — machine learning and genetic algorithms in astrological research.